Not likely if you ask Galen Gruman from Infoworld.com. While apple has been criticized for being overly restrictive for developers and not secure enough for many businesses its iPhone is still a complete powerhouse as far as smartphone market share is concerned. The iPhone is the second most used mobile device to browse the web, and globally, as as smartphone, it holds the largest percentage (40%) of web use. Pretty tough competition out of the gate.While Palm and Microsoft based OS's have been floundering as of late, Android would be going up against the well established user bases of the iPhone and Blackberry in the US market, or Nokia's products when looking abroad. However, with Google, Motorola, Verizon Wireless, Acer and other big-name players collaborating together it would seem that the Android smartphone would still have a relatively easy time getting a strong foothold. Gruman feels otherwise, stating that " [the] Android could become yet another failed partnership among selfish, oafish industry heavyweights. Along those lines Gruman expressed concern about self interest, with so many disparate companies backing a single product things could quikly become confusing, inconsistent and messy. And while this might seem to be somewhat mitigated by Google's built-in cloud-based apps and functionality it could also backfire and prove restrictive and shallow.
In the end Gruman expects the Blackberry and iPhone to maintain their lead in the smartphone market. "[The] iPhone and BlackBerry will be what matters in North America, with BlackBerry becoming the "safe" choice for businesses that don't want their employees accessing the Web or running personal apps -- the lock-down device, essentially..." and apple handling the Web and app-based heavy lifting, fueled by consumer passion to maintain it's separate lead.
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